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Probability and Statistics
Lesson 18
Prediction and Inference
  Objectives/Vocab/Tips > Examples 1 | 2 > Practice: 1 | 2 | 3 > Reflection

Example 1:

A sack has 3 colors of marbles in it. There are 500 marbles in all. A sample of 20 marbles contains 4 red, 10 blue, and 6 yellow marbles.

  • How many marbles of each color do you predict are in the sack?
  1. 80 red, 220 blue, 200 yellow
  2. 100 red, 250 blue, 150 yellow
  3. 120 red, 150 blue, 230 yellow
  4. 150 red, 250 blue, 100 yellow

Here is one way to solve this problem.

You need to begin by making sure that you fully understand the problem and what it is you need to do. Begin by putting the problem into your own words so that you understand the problem. You know there is a bag of marbles that contains 500 marbles of 3 colors. You also know that 20 marbles were drawn from the bag and from the 20 marbles there were 4 red, 10 blue, and 6 yellow marbles.

The question asks you to predict the number of each color of marbles in the sack. Since you know the numbers of colors if you were to draw out 20 marbles, you can predict if you pulled out all 500 marbles. If you were to pull out all 500, 20 marbles at a time, you would pull out 25 sets of 20 marbles.

If you were to pull out 25 sets of 20 marbles you might predict that each set of 20 marbles would be the same. Therefore, you can multiply each of the colors in the one set of 20 marbles by 25 since there will 25 groups of 20 marbles.

  • 4 red marbles x 25 = 100 red marbles
  • 10 blue marbles x 25 = 250 blue marbles
  • 6 yellow marbles x 25 = 150 yellow marbles

Based upon the sample of 20 marbles, the 500 marbles in the sack most likely would be as you found above. The answer to this problem is letter B:

  • 100 red marbles
  • 250 blue marbles
  • 150 yellow marbles

Example 2 >>

 

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